Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1554SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1554 · JNU → SEA
departs 5:03 AM AKDT · arrives 8:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±0 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.