Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1611SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1611 · GEG → LAX
departs 6:20 AM PT · arrives 9:05 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±0 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.