Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1617SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 1617 · DEN → SAN
departs 6:00 AM MT · arrives 7:34 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.