AS 181 · FCO → SEA

departs 3:14 PM CEST · arrives 4:45 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FCO

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

FCO (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 181 · FCO → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?