Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 18SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 18 · PDX → JFK
departs 10:47 AM PT · arrives 7:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±3 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.