Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 202SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 202 · SEA → OGG
departs 6:59 PM PT · arrives 10:07 PM HT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OGG?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.