Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 206SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 206 · OGG → SEA
departs 9:40 PM HT · arrives 6:17 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±2 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.