Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 207 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 207 · LAX → PDX

departs 9:35 PM PT · arrives 11:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↓ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 207 · LAX → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?