Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 211SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 211 · SFO → JFK
departs 9:30 PM PT · arrives 6:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 48h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.