Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 22SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 22 · SEA → JFK
departs 11:15 PM PT · arrives 7:38 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±0 pts+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.