Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 267 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AS 267 · ANC → PDX

departs 11:54 AM AKT · arrives 4:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at ANC that day

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.07 in

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 267 · ANC → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?