Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 322 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 322 · DFW → SEA

departs 6:03 PM CT · arrives 8:24 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±4 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.0 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.98 in

SEA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 322 · DFW → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?