Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 328SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 328 · SEA → ORD
departs 12:17 AM PT · arrives 6:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±2 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.