Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 337 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 337 · ORD → SEA

departs 5:42 PM CT · arrives 8:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±7 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 5pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.23 in

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 337 · ORD → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?