Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 395SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 395 · MCO → SEA
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 10:09 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±1 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.