tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 440 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 440 · MKE → SEA

departs 6:02 AM CT · arrives 8:31 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.