Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 461SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 461 · BZN → SEA
departs 6:03 AM MT · arrives 6:57 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
3%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.