Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 471SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 471 · SNA → SEA
departs 10:28 AM PT · arrives 1:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.