Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 472SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 472 · SEA → SNA
departs 5:20 PM PT · arrives 8:08 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.