Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 529SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 529 · SEA → BUR
departs 11:20 AM PT · arrives 1:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
26%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.