Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 542SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 542 · SEA → DFW
departs 11:03 PM PT · arrives 5:02 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
39%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.