AS 554 · HNL → SLC

departs 12:08 PM HT · arrives 10:12 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.37 in

SLC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 554 · HNL → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?