Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 55 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 55 · SCC → ANC

departs 8:14 AM AKT · arrives 9:58 AM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.5 in of snow forecast at SCC that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ Other factors

↓ 8am departures from SCC are usually not late

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SCC (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

ANC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 55 · SCC → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?