tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 580 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 580 · BUR → SEA

departs 1:21 PM PT · arrives 4:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±1 pts −7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.