Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 592 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 592 · SEA → ONT

departs 5:51 PM PT · arrives 8:32 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±4 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ONT

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ONT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 592 · SEA → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?