Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 593SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 593 · SEA → PHX
departs 9:59 AM PT · arrives 1:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±1 pts−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.