Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 598SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 598 · SEA → RNO
departs 5:07 PM PT · arrives 6:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
37%chance · ±4 pts+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to RNO?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.