tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 600 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 600 · SEA → LAS

departs 3:18 PM PT · arrives 5:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±5 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LAS?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.