Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 627SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 627 · PDX → LAS
departs 7:37 AM PT · arrives 9:55 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.