Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 629SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 629 · LAS → SEA
departs 10:28 AM PT · arrives 1:14 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.