Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 631SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 631 · SEA → SNA
departs 7:10 PM PT · arrives 10:01 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
18%chance · ±3 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.