Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 649SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 649 · BUR → PDX
departs 6:10 PM PT · arrives 8:25 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±1 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.