Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 658SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 658 · SEA → LAS
departs 1:00 PM PT · arrives 3:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±2 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.