Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 690 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1

AS 690 · JNU → GST

departs 4:14 PM AKDT · arrives 4:52 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at GST more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GST?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at GST

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ 4pm departures from JNU are usually not late

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.27 in

GST (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 690 · JNU → GST

Odds over time

How late will it get to GST?