AS 73 · JNU → ANC

departs 7:36 AM AKDT · arrives 9:22 AM AKT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from JNU are usually not late

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.27 in

ANC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 73 · JNU → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?