AS 73 · SIT → JNU

departs 6:03 AM AKDT · arrives 6:46 AM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JNU?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ SIT is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SIT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.47 in

JNU (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 73 · SIT → JNU

Odds over time

How late will it get to JNU?