AS 754 · SJC → PDX

departs 7:00 AM PT · arrives 8:51 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 754 · SJC → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?