Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 767 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 767 · SEA → ANC

departs 5:52 PM PT · arrives 8:34 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±7 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 767 · SEA → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?