Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 773SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 773 · SEA → SNA
departs 2:02 PM PT · arrives 4:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±1 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.