Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 87 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Today

AS 87 · SCC → ANC

departs 6:15 PM AKT · arrives 8:04 PM AKT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±4 pts −21 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SCC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ANC at that hour are often late

↓ ANC usually runs smoothly

↓ 6pm departures from SCC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SCC (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.08 in

ANC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 87 · SCC → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?