Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 884 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 884 · LIH → PDX

departs 12:23 PM HT · arrives 8:48 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ 12pm departures from LIH are usually not late

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.48 in

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 884 · LIH → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?