Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 924 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

AS 924 · OGG → OAK

departs 1:02 PM HT · arrives 9:00 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OAK?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at OAK that day

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 924 · OGG → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?