Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1115
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 1115 · BOS → BUF
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 7:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Wed 9/30 23%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.