B6 1145 · RIC → FLL

departs 8:10 AM ET · arrives 10:34 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±5 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ FLL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.72 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1145 · RIC → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?