Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 1202 · JFK → BUF
departs 4:46 PM ET · arrives 6:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 37%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.