Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1206
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 1206 · ORD → JFK
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 9:17 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 13%
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
JFK is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.96 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.