Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 125
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
B6 125 · JFK → TPA
departs 11:30 AM ET · arrives 2:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.29 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.