B6 1263 · BOS → TVC

departs 8:18 AM ET · arrives 10:40 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts −20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TVC?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at TVC that day

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

TVC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1263 · BOS → TVC

Odds over time

How late will it get to TVC?