B6 1450 · STI → FLL

departs 3:25 PM AST · arrives 5:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STI (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

FLL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip1.29 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1450 · STI → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?