Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1498
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
B6 1498 · DEN → JFK
departs 2:09 PM MT · arrives 8:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 9/30 50%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.